Econometric modeling and forecasting of the customs payments volumes in the region of the Rostov Customs operation
Abstract
Econometric modeling and forecasting of the customs payments volumes in the region of the Rostov Customs operation
Incoming article date: 27.06.2017The article deals with the construction of exponential smoothing model and an additive model of the time series according to the quarterly data of the customs payments volumes for the import of a group of goods 72 «Ferrous metals» and 73 «Goods from ferrous metals» for the period from 2014 up to the first quarter of 2017 in the region of Rostov Customs operation. According to the received models, the forecast for the second quarter of 2017 has been made.
Keywords: econometrics, time series, adaptive methods, exponential average, modeling, forecasting, customs payments