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Application of the methodology for assessing the reliability of a construction project taking into account uncertainty

Abstract

Application of the methodology for assessing the reliability of a construction project taking into account uncertainty

Titarenko B.P., Zheglova Yu.G.

Incoming article date: 29.08.2024

The situation of occurrence, identification and management of risks arising during the construction process is analyzed. Uncertainty of decision-making in construction projects involves the creation of methods that ensure the reliability of decisions and their effectiveness. Such a method was developed in the Russian Project Management Association. The paper provides an example of using this method on a real construction site. An analysis of risks arising during the implementation of a construction project was conducted, a risk map was created for this project and the PERT method was applied when creating a calendar plan.

Keywords: uncertainty, risk event, probability, risk, damage, danger, reliability, risk analysis, investment and construction project, PERT method