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Ways to improve the reliability of buildings when making organizational and technological decisions in conditions of uncertainty

Abstract

Ways to improve the reliability of buildings when making organizational and technological decisions in conditions of uncertainty

Sheina S.G., Sergeev Yu.D., Myasishchev R.Yu., Sergeeva A.Yu., Mishchenko A.V.

Incoming article date: 14.09.2024

The article is devoted to the issue of making organizational and technological decisions when the stock of information for alternatives to choosing the required tasks is either very small, or they are changing drastically. Since it is not easy to make an organizational and technological business decision due to the fact that it is not clear what the result will be, it is proposed to use game theory in conditions of uncertainty. What kind of decision will be made and which of the available strategies the designer will adopt depends on what economic effect will be obtained as a result of the implementation of the organizational and technological solution being developed. Game theory is a special class of mathematical models for decision-making under specific conditions. By choosing solutions in the wake of uncertainty, game theory formalizes possible knowledge about the course of action of the participants in the game in certain conflict situations and allows you to mathematically substantiate knowledge about a rational course of action in certain conditions. When constructing construction projects in environmentally unfavorable conditions, the risk matrix is compared and the best option for the development of a construction project is determined.

Keywords: construction and technical expertise, reliability, organizational and technological solutions, diagnostic methods, efficiency.