Modelling of cargo transportation parameters based on benchmark analysis of the transport companies’ market
Abstract
Modelling of cargo transportation parameters based on benchmark analysis of the transport companies’ market
Incoming article date: 19.01.2024The paper examines current issues of modeling and forecasting market parameters for transport companies providing services for the transportation of industrial enterprises’ good, such as cost, time, speed and volumes of delivery of finished products to consumers, and also assesses the potential capabilities of transport companies to provide the required quantity and quality of transport and logistics services. The aim of the study is to determine the area of reliable forecasts of transportation indicators for each interval value of the cargo delivery shoulder, taking into account the company’s market share. Modeling of the time parameters of cargo transportation was carried out based on road transportation conditions and the time of year. When implementing modeling procedures, the required statistical basis for parameters of travel time and distance on the route was formed on the basis of data from specialized applications for analyzing indicators of transport and logistics services of freight vehicles. A family of forecast curves was obtained for various variants of forecast models of speed and travel time, as well as interval values of delivery lengths for the initial set of transport and logistics companies. and development of new production on available floor spaces. The most important organizational economic targets of a diversification of management are presented by innovative activity of the industrial enterprise.
Keywords: statistical forecasting, transportation efficiency, benchmark models, tariffs for cargo transportation, piecewise linear approximation, areas of reliable forecasts, cargo transportation parameters, benchmark analysis, transport company market