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Use of Fuzzy Cognitive Models as an Organizational System Modeling Tool

Abstract

Use of Fuzzy Cognitive Models as an Organizational System Modeling Tool

Bozhenyuk A.V., Ginis L.A.

Incoming article date: 03.01.2025

In this work, an approach is considered, which makes it possible to obtain scientific-based management decisions on the development of organizational systems. The purpose of the work is to show in a particular example the development of a fuzzy cognitive model development process, to analyze the model for sustainability, to determine the activation vertex complexes. The toolkit for describing and analyzing a fuzzy cognitive model is based on the basic concepts of fuzzy graph theory. Simulation results are given, directed to the development of possible scenarios for the development of situations of a socio-economic system of the Rostov region. The results are clearly illustrated by examples of fourteen scenarios, the matching of which to the main factors made it possible to determine a plurality of pessimistic and optimistic and to give recommendations to the face receiving the decision.

Keywords: control, organizational system, cognitive model, simulation modeling, fuzzy graph, sustainability