Development of an Event Tree Based on System Goals, Strategies, and Tasks

Abstract

Development of an Event Tree Based on System Goals, Strategies, and Tasks

Masaev S.N., Minkin A.N., Galunskiy I.A., Lutsenko R.V.

Incoming article date: 04.02.2025

The combination of systems analysis and long-term planning is a crucial factor for ensuring sustainable development and enhancing the competitiveness of enterprises. In this context, the use of the Event Tree Analysis method plays a key role in assessing the achievement of strategic goals, tasks, and identifying potential risks. This study focuses on the development and application of an event tree to analyze various aspects of system operations, including goal setting, strategy development, and task execution. The application of the ETA method not only allows for modeling possible event scenarios but also enables the development of risk mitigation measures, contributing to long-term sustainability and successful system functioning.

Keywords: event tree, system analysis, strategic planning, risk management, threat minimization, sustainable development, enterprise competitiveness, quantitative analysis, qualitative analysis, dependent events, conditional probabilities, protective mechanisms