The analysis of risks of wrong management decision in expert methods of reliability evaluation
Abstract
The analysis of risks of wrong management decision in expert methods of reliability evaluation
Incoming article date: 16.07.2016The article presents an approach of calculation of evaluation of manufacturer risk to take the wrong decision, based on the results of criticality assessment, received by expert methods of analysis of system reliability in its design stage. The problem of realization of the risk-oriented thought (one of the most important ISO category) is considered. The analytical dependences for calculating risk amount are developed. The dependences take into consideration various probability distributions and cases where the probability distribution is unknown. Using of proposed method allows increase the efficiency of actions aimed at improving of products quality.
Keywords: criticality assessment, reliability engineering, manufacturer risk, wrong decision,expert method