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  • Multi-agent stochastic model of the perception of political processes students of the Chechen Republic (according 2015)

    This paper is the final in monitoring and modeling of socio-political attitudes of students of the Chechen Republic, which were made on the basis of a survey conducted in mid-2015. Bringing together previously obtained results on the calculation and analysis of affective and cognitive components, revealed the full hierarchical structure of indicators of political attitudes. On the first level identified six parameters, which are reduced to three on the second one, and a two-dimensional matrix of conflict on the third level. The last index formed by the affective perception of the political order and an indicator of generalized political activity. The total conflict index was calculated on the basis of these components, by using psycho-semantic model developed on the basis of the concept of typicality, in the framework of catastrophe theory. The index of overall conflict potential is modeled by a random variable. Their distribution functions were determined by Monte Carlo simulation using agent - oriented simulation package Any Logic. The analysis and simulation showed in the whole group (81%) low level of contentiousness of 0.1-0.2 (for straight-line scale from 0 to +1). The high value of this parameter (0, 8-0, 9) was observed in a small proportion (13%), which is the subgroup of risk regarding possible development of the protests.

    Keywords: students, Grozny, the cognitive component of the conflict potential, a parallel hierarchical structure, the emotional perception of political order, matrix, distribution function, multivariate analysis

  • The index of latent conflict potential student RSBU (according to 2014)

    This paper is the final in monitoring and modeling of socio-political attitudes of students of the University, made on the basis of a survey conducted in mid-2014. The index of overall conflict potential was constructed by using the previously obtained indicators of affective perception of political orders (local and Central) and parameter of general political activity. For this purpose, a psycho-semantic model developed on the basis of the concept of typicality, in terms of catastrophe theory. The index of overall conflict potential is modeled by a random variable. Its distribution function was determined by Monte Carlo simulation using agent - oriented simulation package AnyLogic. The analysis and simulation showed in average relatively low level of conflict 0,46 (straight-line scale from 0 to +1). While 54% of respondents characterized the conflict potential is below average (0.4 and below). The high value of this parameter (0,8-0,9) was observed in one third of respondents. This part of the study audience is the group of risk regarding possible development of the protests.

    Keywords: the students, Rostov State Building University, cognitive component, emotional perception, conflicts, political order, matrix, psycho-semantic model, distribution function, Monte-Carlo, agent - oriented package

  • The technique and framework of language models construction for real-time Internet monitoring

    The highest dynamics of the processes of online extremism bring more importance to the development of methodology and software tools capable to produce real-time tracking of the dissemination of information, including social networks, to analyze posts meaning and promise and to build predictive models. The article presents the technique of designing a smart linguistic models that are able to take into account the context and allows flexible adaptation to the subject area for natural language processing in the social networks within the field of real-time warning cyber-threats based on Data Mining. We describe the basic disadvantages of using a simple feature engineering and the bag of words method for the purposes of text classification. We show programming interface and features of the generalized framework in which our technique is applied, and also show how this framework can be used to meet the challenges of business and government during the process of collection and analysis of publications on the Internet.

    Keywords: natural language processing, linguistic models, machine learning, feature engineering, text mining framework, text classification, language models constructor, morphology analysis

  • The level of latent socio-political conflicts of DSTU students for mid-2015

    The results of processing of experimental data obtained during the pilot survey, completed in June 2015 among the 3rd year students of DSTU. As a measure of impending conflict was used the level of emotional perception r local and Central political orders. It was normalized from -1 (negative order) to +1 (acceptance of order). The basis of measurements on the method of semantic differential Charles Osgood. Using the theory of ideal points Coombs, levels of perception calculated in the linear approximation and on the previously developed model in the framework of catastrophe theory. Shows the distribution of respondents by levels of emotional perception, calculated by the multi-agent modeling program Any Logic. Obtained that on average the studied audience perceives the local government is neutral (r=0,04). However, 39% of respondents perceive the local order is negative, 53% were positive. To the Central government, on average, the ratio is slightly positive (r=0,13). Negative emotional perception is characterized by 23%, positive – 60%.

    Keywords: the emotional perception of the local political order, the Central political order, semantic differential, linear approximation, modeling, catastrophe theory, multi-agent approach, the distribution function, individual level

  • Simulation of the design activity diversification of innovative enterprise

    It is shown that one of the most important elements influencing the nature of development in the region is socio-ethno-cultural landscape. The study of its characteristics suggests a wide use of methods of social simulation. The purpose of modeling is to estimate the required parameters in conditions of uncertainty, both at the planning stage and during the current administration. Theoretical solutions to this challenge are based on the use of the principle of duality, when the production and analysis of missing information about a managed object, in our case about socio-ethno-cultural landscape, the system is in the process of governance. The duality of the models appears in their dual role as research (for monitoring characteristics of socio-ethno-cultural landscape and, at the same time as the reference models for the management of development in the region. Need of approbation and problem integration of methods of the system analysis, social diagnostics and social and mathematical modeling which will make new scientific methodology of research is shown. To solve the problem of this level is proposed for effective convergence of methodological knowledge in the use of total potential informational, cognitive, and socio-humanitarian technologies.

    Keywords: dsimulation, dual simulation, socio-ethno-cultural landscape, managing the development of the region

  • Electronic scientific journal: systematic goals and assessments

    A modern trend of scientific publications development shifts toward the network environments to an even more considerable degree. In practice, the new culture of the scientific publications is forming on basis of the global and mini Internet-platforms. The discussion of the comprehension experience and overcoming the different rating problems is suggested in the context of a science webzine “Engineer bulletin of Don”. It is observed that as the position of science webzines becomes stronger in the common space of the science magazines, there is a tendency to revising their evaluation criterion. Besides, the implementation of rates or coefficients prevails, the applicability of which relative to the science webzines is exogenous, i.e. it disclaims the aims of the science webzines. The application of restrictions, worked out within the framework of the traditional paper book-printing technology, is indicated to be unpromising. A new level of the science environment systemacy is suggested to be supplemented with the formalization of scientific evaluation rations, already existing and successfully maintained de facto, within the framework of the webzines – the Internet-platforms.

    Keywords: the electronic scientific journal, Internet platform, interdisciplinarity, open access, impact factor, ranking

  • The attitude towards labor migrants in the south of Russia: integration prospect in the conditions of external calls

    On the example of these regional sociological researches the problem of integration of labor migrants into the accepting communities of the South of Russia, in the conditions of external calls – political crisis in Ukraine and waves of stressful migration is analyzed. As the factors defining the population attitude towards migrants are considered: social and economic well-being, dominating social identity of the population, the general migratory situation in the region

    Keywords: labor migration, refugees, social well-being, South of Russia, civil identity, ethnic identity, integration of migrants

  • The structure of group installations the politically active part of the population of the Rostov region (according to 2014).

    Work represents research of structure of group installations in relation to a political order. The studied audience - politically active part of the population of the Rostov region. Measurement is carried out using questionnaires. The survey involved 402 respondents. Age from 19 to 73 years. It is measured an activity relation to the political life of society, there is assessment of relations to the political authority, the current political situation and the level of relative deprivation. It is received, among the interrogated group there are pro-government moods, with support of work in the government, for the purpose of support to the existing regime – 44,8%. It is revealed, the majority of respondents have a negative attitude to the protest actions. Thus the increased level of an emotional involvement and participation in political processes is observed.

    Keywords: a political tension, deprivation, group installation, cognitive component, behavioral component, questionnaire, the descriptive statistics

  • Scientific heritage Y.A Zhdanov and modern problems of modeling of complex socio systems

    On the results of the reports shows that experts and scholars model studies of social systems has received a new professional forum in the framework of the annual scientific readings dedicated to the memory Y.A Zhdanov. The report contains the results of theoretical and applied research of complex socio systems using model-based approach.

    Keywords: convergence, simulation, methodology, social simulation, information set of instruments, agent base modeling, system dynamics, the discrete- event-related models

  • Technologies of modeling socio-cultural interactions in multi-ethnic regions

    Presents materials of the reports presented at the section "Technologies of modeling socio-cultural interactions in multi-ethnic regions" international scientific conference of young scientists "Actual problems of modeling, designing and forecasting of social and political processes in multicultural space of modern society". The organizer of the specified partition conference was organized by the North-Caucasian scientific center of higher school and the Department of modeling of social processes of the southern Federal University. The materials reflect the results of research of young scientists, postgraduates and undergraduates, obtained with the use of various aspects of model-based approach.

    Keywords: Technology, modeling, social modeling, socio-cultural interaction,multi-ethnic region

  • RGSU students relation to political life at the end of 2013

    The work is aimed at studying the relationship of young people to the political sphere of society. Research was carried out the end of 2013 using questionnaires. In the survey of 185 people attended. There is a low level of participation in the political process, and the average level of emotional involvement. It is received, the low level of political activity of young people: weak electoral activity and indifference to social movements. Assessment of the political situation on the value of the average in the Region - 2.39 and Russia - 2.04.

    Keywords: a political tension, deprivation, group installation, cognitive component, behavioral component, questionnaire, the descriptive statistics

  • Cognitive and behavioural components of the relations to the political order of students of DGTU (according to 2013)

    The article examines the cognitive and behavioral components of group attitudes toward political order of students of DGTU.  Pilot study took place in 2013 and was carried out using questionnaires, which was attended by 52 people. The analysis represents a hierarchical clustering on the basis of consecutive factorization. It is received, group level of a relative deprivation – 0,46. In assessing deprivation group decomposed into two subgroups, with average values in each - 0.3 and 0.6. Perceptions of political order at the cognitive level:  -0,174 for local government and-0,139 for Russia. In perception of local government the group broke into two subgroups: -0,3 and 0,2. Behavioral component perception of political order defined by two subfactor: active behavioral level - 0.39, and the estimated level of oppositional behavior - 0.57.

    Keywords: group settings, the affective component, a behavioral component, cognitive component, relative deprivation, questioning, political attitudes, factor analysis

  • Modeling the emotional perception of the political order by students of DGTU

    In the autumn of 2013 a pilot survey was conducted among students DSTU, which was attended by 52 respondents. Purpose - to reveal emotional perception of the students of local and central political government by the method of semantic differential. The paper presents a psychosemantic phenomenological model processing of survey results by the method of semantic differential. On average semantic portraits are calculated relative distances between the group images of real political order and the images of the ideal constructs. Phenomenological parameters are determined by them and calculated the required level of group emotional perception of a political order. Calculations group levels of emotional perception of the political order showed similar results as the linear approximation: -0.015 for Region and for Russia as a whole -0.033. Shown, the model allows to determine not only the group levels of perception, but also to build the surface of the stationary states. This surface describes the behavior the level of perception associated with a quasistatic change of phenomenological parameters caused by external conditions. Images of perception of real political orders are in quiet area. At quasistatic variations of external conditions it is necessary to expect little smooth changes of level of perception.

    Keywords: political order, semantic differential, questioning, catastrophe theory, psychosemantic phenomenological modeling

  • Process Dynamics Modeling on the Base of Text Corpus Sequence Analysis

    The represented approach of dynamic process modeling is based on the technology of automatical semantic text analysis. An associative network is forming during text processing. Its key notions, including  lexical and psycholinguistic markers of the analyzed process, are ranked by theirs semantic weight. The weight being multiplied by marker status value at the scale of “good-bad” gives its contribution to the process stage characteristic. Transformation of the accumulated for all of the markers process characteristic from one period of time to another one is characterize a direction of the process.

    Keywords: automatical text processing, associative (homogenous semantic) network, process dynamic modeling, social processes, lexical and psycholinguistic markers

  • Engineering breakthrough in the social simulation

    In the article it is shown that the engineering professional abilities proved to be claimed, also, in the especially humanitarian divisions of the science: history, sociology, politologii, konfliktologii and other Which makes it possible to speak about the convergence of engineering methods and professional scopes of the specialists of humanitarian profile. The illustrations of the tendency of this change in the southern federal university are given. Are examined the most interesting aspects of the advance of engineering methods and tools in the humanitarian formation, in scientific studies and developments, conducted with the participation of scientists, specialists and the students of the North-Caucasian scientific center of southern federal university.

    Keywords: convergence, simulation, methodology, social simulation, information set of instruments, agent base modeling, system dynamics, the discrete- event-related models